Minor party, independent, and write-in candidates included Ronald Johnson (Constitution Party), Richard Weiss (G), Daniel Wassmer (Keystone Party of Pennsylvania), Erik Gerhardt (L), and Quincy Magee (Independent). In the 2020 election, incumbent President Donald Trump (R) won the state over President Joe Biden (D), 49.9% to 48.6%. After almost losing Hunter in 2019, Joel Fitzgibbon tried to convince his Labor colleagues to look after the coal industry, but failed to shift their obsession with climate change. The Supreme Court of Pennsylvania suspended the candidate filing period for the primary election, pending resolution of a redistricting dispute. Warnock explained his decision to work with Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX), saying, There is a road that runs through our humanitythat is larger than politics, bigger than partisan bickering, certainly bigger than raceand my job as a legislator, and our job as citizens, is to find our way to that road that connects us to one anotherso that every child can have access to a good, quality education, so that everybody can have affordable health careOur job is to build out that road![41] As of November 2022, Warnocks campaign had raised more than $123 million. Consequently, sample ballots in different jurisdictions in the same state may . Georgia and Arizona had seats up for election in 2022 that were up for special election in 2020. In Arizona, for example, Sen. Mark Kellys win over Blake Masters in the states US Senate contest was boosted by the support of 55 percent of independents who made up the largest share of the electorate (about 40 percent). He believes in participatory government and strongly backs our policy to have citizen-initiated referenda, so the Australian people can set the agenda instead of just politicians, lobbyists and the media. Bidens best numbers came in exit polling in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, where the president's approval was at 46% in each. We need to punish criminals severely. In explaining why Democrats' chances have improved of late, both FiveThirtyEight and The Economist note the disparity in candidate quality between the Democrats and Republicans as playing a significant role in the broader fight for the majority.[98]. Republicans held 49 seats following the elections, while Democrats held 48 seats and independents who caucus with Democrats held two. In that way, poor Republican candidate quality hurt other Republicans, especially with independents and moderates, as my colleague Andrew Prokop has reported. Sinema said she would not caucus with Republicans.[7]. candidates by about five percentage points. At the start of the 2022 election cycle, Inside Elections rated this state Battleground Republican.[74]. Murkowski said, "This race is about who can deliver best for Alaska. The largest MOV was in Hawaii, where Brian Schatz (D) defeated Bob McDermott (R) by a margin of 52.17 percentage points. Of those, Democrats won 15 seats and Republicans won 20 seats. Democrat John Fetterman won independents by a whopping 18-point margin over Republican Mehmet Oz, who was consistently unpopular with voters. In the 2016 election, Trump carried Wisconsin with 47.2% of the vote to Hillary Clinton's (D) 46.5%. Items are listed in reverse chronological order by date of change, with the most recent change appearing first. Four to five points. One Nation to Contest Every Seat in House of Reps Australians everywhere will have the opportunity to support Pauline Hanson's One Nation at the 2022 Federal election, with the party fielding candidates in all 151 electorates. The alternative letting the Greens hold the balance of power in the Senate with the strong possibility of Labor winning a majority in the House doesnt bear thinking about. The AP VoteCast survey shows a nearly 10 percent gap in favor of Democrats.[98]. In the Nevada 2018 U.S. senate race, Jacky Rosen defeated incumbent Sen. Dean Heller (R) by five percentage points. Join the discussion. In 2018, incumbent Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D) defeated Leah Vukmir (R), 55% to 45%. "[34] Kelly said he was "focused on representing Arizonans all Arizonans and Ill keep working with Republicans and Democrats to support hardworking families and get our economy back on track. We need to get control of our border. "Our communities are strong, but our politics are broken. Before her time in office, Demings worked in law enforcement for nearly three decades. The court also extended the filing deadline from March 22, 2022, to April 15, 2022. "[43] As of November 2022, Walkers campaign had raised nearly $38 million. Democrats gained a net of one seat in the 2022 general elections, maintaining control of the chamber. One Nation was launched by Pauline Hanson on 11th April 1997 in Queensland. -webkit-columns: 3; One Nation is gearing up for its first South Australian state election campaign since 2006, with its state leader insisting the Pauline Hanson-founded party is well-placed to influence both the policy debate and the state's next government. These are the seven tightest 2022 . Click below to learn more about: Click here for primary election competitiveness statistics, including the number of open seats and contested incumbents in 2022. FILE - President Joe Biden hands one of the pens he used for singing the Ukraine Democracy Defense Lend-Lease Act of 2022 to Rep. Elissa Slotkin, D-Mich., left, during a ceremony in the Oval . Hassan said she worked with Republicans to end surprise medical billing and expand broadband access. Total votes. Or he could become the Republicans monkey wrench in the gears of a party trying to move on from Trump if his meddling in GOP primaries produces toxic nominees who turn off independent voters and keep the Democratic base unified and energized.[98]. And although the incumbency advantage is smaller than it once was, some of the strongest-performing candidates, such as Rubio and New Hampshire Democrat Maggie Hassan, were incumbents. !function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(e){if(void 0!==e.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.querySelectorAll("iframe");for(var a in e.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var r=0;r missing for tag In June 2021, Trump endorsed Tshibaka. Hell need to come close to those numbers again, though its still a question of GOP turnout given Walkers severe underperformance versus Kemp. Minor party, independent, and write-in candidates included Barry Rubinson (Independent American Party), Neil Scott (Libertarian), and Barry Lindemann (Independent). The following table lists incumbents who didn't seek re-election in 2022. Overall, his preferred primary candidates underperformed other G.O.P. Bolduc's campaign ads emphasized his military background and called Hassan a career politician. "I think Biden's numbers will very much drive the 2022 elections," says Republican consultant John Brabender. [38][39][40], Warnock served as the senior pastor of Ebenezer Baptist Church, where Dr. Martin Luther King, Jr. also served as pastor. But Democrats will suffer no net losses in the Senate, and after picking up an open seat in Pennsylvania previously held by a Republican, could achieve a net gain of one seat if Democratic Sen. Raphael Warnock defeats Republican Herschel Walker in Georgias Dec. 6 runoff. [36] Demings said she was "running for U.S. Senate to fight for every Floridian to have that same opportunity to live the American Dream."[37]. In 2017,Mr Christensen quit his role as National Party whip, arguing he was constrained from speaking his mind on policies. Candidate lists may be incomplete until each state's filing deadline has passed. Grant, Tuan Nguyen, Uloma Ekpete, Edward A. Incumbent Rob Portman (R), who was first elected in 2010, did not run for re-election. As of October 19, 2022, Hassan spent $36.7 million. Prime Minister Scott Morrison and Deputy Prime Minister Barnaby Joyce, also Mr Christensen's leader in the Nationals party room, were repeatedly called on to reprimand the Queensland backbencher for peddling his theories. During that time, special elections were called for 23 seats vacated by Democrats and 44 vacated by Republicans. One Nation has leveraged its share of the balance of power to make things better in Australia, she said. Rubio emphasized his Senate career; according to his campaign website, "As a U.S. Warnock, Walker, and Chase Oliver (L) ran to represent Georgia in the U.S. Senate. Weve been part of Australias political landscape for a whole generation now and were ready to offer every Australian voter the chance to elect a One Nation candidate. Republicans were defending two Senate seats in states Joe Biden (D) won in the 2020 presidential election: Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. That could make these retirements less of a blow to Republicans than they first appear. In the 2020 election, President Joe Biden (D) won the state over then-incumbent President Donald Trump (R), 49.5% to 48.8%. As findings like these are revealed, they may add to the consternation of some Republicans who in recent days have blamed Mr. Trump for the partys poor performance. If the chief magistrate is unpopular, the party controlling the White House always loses ground, sometimes dramatically. Senator at the time of the election, last won re-election in 2018 by seven percentage points. if(document.getElementsByClassName("reference").length==0) if(document.getElementById('Footnotes')!==null) document.getElementById('Footnotes').parentNode.style.display = 'none'; Communications: Alison Graves Carley Allensworth Abigail Campbell Sarah Groat Caitlin Vanden Boom The final outcome either no net change or a Democratic gain of a seat will be within that range, pending the outcome of the Dec. 6 runoff election in Georgia. He also said that he was a "proven Conservative [who will] take the fight to the Senate and save our values, our culture, and our country. (AP Photo/Jeff Chiu) ( NewsNation) Millions of Americans head to the polls Tuesday to determine the balance of power in the U.S. House and Senate, and to decide crucial state races on everything from abortion restrictions . She emphasized her support for a gas tax holiday through 2022 and said she worked to lower costs for residents. TV Tonight. Senator Watt's suggestion Mr Christensen will get"more money" refers to the allowance MPs get when leaving parliament, noting the higher rate given to politicians defeated at an election as opposed to simply retiring. [98], Midterms are generally challenging for the presidents party because they are a referendum on the party in power. Those varying levels of support also suggest a degree of split-ticket voting, which meant that independent and Republican voters were even more selective in the Republican candidates they did end up supporting. This is, in part, because all 435 seats are up in each House election, whereas only about one-third of Senate seats (and roughly two-thirds of states) are up. In 2010 Obama was at 45 percent; and in 2018 Trump was at 42 percent. She has represented California's 45th District in the US House of Representatives since 2019. On this page, you will find information on the following: Click here for our Election Day coverage of the November 8, 2022, U.S. Senate election results. Its time to turn this ship around. Ultimately, we see these Senate races track closely with the presidential results in the state. Vance (R) defeated Tim Ryan (D) in the November 8 general election for U.S. Senate in Ohio. -moz-columns: 3; "[30] Kelly's campaign website highlighted affordable health care, providing competitive educational opportunities, increasing wages to cover the cost of living, and funding federal benefits like Social Security and Medicare as policy goals in Washington. That dynamic has grown so powerful that each party now holds just three of the 50 Senate seats in the 25 states that voted against their presidential candidates in the 2020 election. Two NSW residents on the electoral roll contacted by the ABC also denied being the elusive One Nation candidate. In Pennsylvania, the four leading candidates to succeed Sen. Pat Toomey who, like Burr, was formally rebuked by the state party for his impeachment vote have embraced Trumps calls for an audit of the states presidential election results, to varying degrees. [53], Laxalt succeeded Cortez Masto as state attorney general, serving from 2015 to 2019. This number includes Sen. Jim Inhofe's (R-Okla.) seat, up for a special election on November 8, 2022. Mr Christensen . Authorised by D.Huxham, Pauline Hansons One Nation, 2/6-12 Boronia Rd Brisbane Airport QLD 4008. The Labor Party was defending two seats. Senators elected at this election are scheduled to take office on 1 July 2022, with the exception of the Senators elected from two territories whose terms commence from election day. Five of the last six presidential elections have been decided by a margin less than that. Animal Justice Party Queensland. Still, another feature of modern American politics is exceptionally close races. US Political and Election news from around the nation - by Ron Gunzburger, publisher of the award-winning Politics1.com site. [] Plenty of independent voters felt off put by Trump-aligned Republican candidates. Contact Ballotpedia at editor@ballotpedia.org for access to earlier data. Its a significant step up from the 2019 election when we fielded candidates in about a third of Australian electorates. A primary was scheduled for June 7, 2022. Ryan campaigned on a range of economic issues, including revitalizing the state's manufacturing industry, a federal $15 minimum wage, the PRO Act, renegotiating existing foreign trade deals, and expanding affordable healthcare. She rejected suggestions Mr Christensen's attempt to enter the Upper House would be fruitless, and said she would not be asking the party's second Senate candidate to make way for the former Coalition MP. The dark money group has spent over $2.8 million this cycle on TV ads and hundreds of thousands of dollars on digital ads tracked by OpenSecrets. California's 2024 Senate Race Is Poised to Be a Historic Showdown Here Are the Candidates to Watch With the news that 89-year-old Sen. Dianne Feinstein will retire at the end of her term, some . The following table compared U.S. Senate race ratings from The Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections prior to the November 2022 elections. Over the past decade, however, we have seen that Republicans have blown several opportunities to pick up Democratic seats by nominating candidates who were either ideologically extreme or weighed down by personal controversies.[98]. One Nation gets more money if Christensen boosts her vote. [69] Budd said he was running because he was "gravely concerned about our countrys future, because North Carolina families, our values, and our jobs are under attack every day in Washington. [54][55], Cortez Masto focused on her support for abortion rights and criticized Laxalt for past comments he made about the 1973 Roe v. Wade Supreme Court decision. In 2018, he was elected 58% to 41% on a joint ticket with incumbent Governor Tom Wolf (D). In 2016, Murkowski was re-elected after defeating second-place finisher Joe Miller (L) 44.4% to 29.2%. However, he has now joined One Nation, announcing this morning he will run for the party inthe Senate in Queensland. Jay Nixon (D) both won re-election. Too often neighbors and families just stop talking to each other, and the politicians in Washington continue to divide us even further," she said. Doctors fix big things. Since Trumps approval ratings were nearly as stable (though at a lower level), we may have entered an era in which polarization and the decline of swing voters means closer and more predictable elections. The following chart includes the congressional approval rating over time, in addition to the presidential approval rating and direction of country rating. Hillary Clinton (D) won the state in the 2016 presidential election by 2.4 percentage points. } Mia Bonta (D) - State Assemblywoman, Ex-Alameda School Board Member, Nonprofit Exectutive & Attorney Democrats picked up both seats. Rhiannon Bosma was earlier. Retrieved 7 April 2022. That included strong independent support in the swing Washoe County, which Cortez Masto won in this contest (she lost it during her first election in 2016). Johnson was first elected in 2010, defeating then-incumbent Sen. Russ Feingold (D), 52% to 47%. Hell be a great representative focused on protecting coal jobs and giving younger people in the region a prosperous future.. With the results in Arizona, Georgia and Pennsylvania all within the margin of one MAGA penalty, its entirely plausible that Mr. Trumps candidates cost the Republicans control of the Senate.[98]. For the latest information, searchABC Emergency, For the latestweather warnings in the Northern Territory, search onABC Emergency. The court later fixed March 15, 2022, as the filing deadline for statewide offices and the U.S. Congress. So theres a good chance that states will be at least a bit redder in 2022 than they were in 2020. The absolute fealty to Trump is only part of the change this class of candidates would herald. While in the GOP-held open seats in North Carolina and Ohio, Beasley and Ryan, respectively, outran Biden, they couldnt match the larger numbers the incumbents had that they needed, with 4 and 6 points being insufficient in the red-leaning states. A pivotal question for Democrats is whether Biden has a better chance of recovering at least somewhat by November in the states that he won -- and where more voters therefore have some history of viewing him favorably. Fettermans campaign tweets out crowd photos, claiming Oz cant fill big rooms. A statement attributed to Pauline Hanson on One Nation's website stated: "With so many candidates One Nation is going to have a big influence on this election as we have a very real chance of holding the balance of power in either the Lower House or the Senate." Click on a state on the map above . In data provided to Vox from Navigators midterm voters survey, those numbers show that for independent men, inflation was a top concern for half of them, while abortion was the top concern for 23 percent. ", Unless Biden can get a second wind before November, especially in states that he won, the Democrats' chances of holding the Senate will turn on whether she's right.[98]. Weve had way too much time of politicians trying to tinker around the edges just trying to fix the superficial. The most competitive races, with predicted margins of under 5 points, are expected to be in Arizona, Georgia, and Pennsylvania. Mr. Kemp was an incumbent; Mr. Walker was a challenger. Schmitt ran on his record as attorney general and the lawsuits he filed against the federal government. [83] In a campaign ad, Oz said, "We're facing rising crime, crushing inflation, lives unraveling. Lisa Murkowski, Alaska Fifty-seven senators voted to convict and 43 voted to acquit. Many people in the Hunter are very concerned about the major parties sacrificing their coal jobs and industry on the altar of climate change, Senator Hanson said. Australians everywhere will have the opportunity to support Pauline Hansons One Nation at the 2022 Federal election, with the party fielding candidates in all 151 electorates. Republicans were handed a tremendous opportunity in 2022. None of the three Democratic senators in states that then-President Donald Trump won in 2020 is on the ballot this fall, which leaves the battlefield centered overwhelmingly on terrain Biden captured. [76] According to the Dayton Daily News, Ryan's campaign focused on blue-collar workers and issues. No candidates. Rob Portman helped broker? In 2016, Hassan defeated Ayotte by 0.1 percentage points. Thirty-two of the 34 seats up for regular election in 2022 were last up for election in 2016. Meanwhile, in the two outlier midterms, Clintons average job-approval rating was 65 percent in 1998, while George W. Bushs was 62 percent in 2002. In final pre-election polls in 1994, Bill Clintons average job-approval rating was 47 percent (according to FiveThirtyEight). The seats were up for election in 2022. Before his time in the legislature, Barnes worked for the city of Milwaukee and as a community organizer for the Milwaukee Inner-City Congregations Allied for Hope. The 2016 and 2020 presidential elections in Florida were both decided by less than 4 percentage points. Heading into Election Day, the U.S. Senate was evenly divided at 50-50 with Vice President Kamala Harris (D) casting tie-breaking votes, giving Democrats an effective majority. Budd was first elected to North Carolina's 13th Congressional District in 2016 and was re-elected in 2018 and 2020. On Wednesday, an ABC reporter who made inquiries at a residence in the Wagga Wagga suburb listed on the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) nomination form was told by a man answering the front door that Ms Seymour was unwell. The 2020 and 2016 presidential elections in North Carolina were both decided by less than 4 percentage points. Walker said he also ran to save "our country and the great state of Georgia from President Bidens disastrous agenda which has led to higher prices, out-of-control crime, dangerous open borders, and America Last foreign policy. "One Nation represents a genuine alternative to the major parties for Australians who are tired of politics as usual. [44][45], Eric Schmitt (R) defeated Trudy Busch Valentine (D), Paul Venable (Constitution Party), and Jonathan Dine (L) in the general election for one of Missouri's U.S. Senate seats on November 8, 2022. The state court then issued an order establishing new candidate filing deadlines. [25], U.S. Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R) and fellow Alaska U.S. Sen. Dan Sullivan (R) endorsed Murkowski. Gov. The FiveThirtyEight election model finds that in 70 out of 100 election simulations, Democrats emerge from 2022 in the majority. (Sen. Lisa Murkowski of Alaska upsets the right wing but is a reliable vote to organize the Senate, and the GOP will support her.) [] I'll heal us, and bring change to our divided nation. [49] Based on pre-general election reports filed with the Federal Election Commission (FEC), Busch Valentine cumulatively raised $12.0 million and spent $11.7 million. In the 2020 Senate election cycle, Democrats flipped four seats and Republicans flipped one: This section includes commentary on the 2022 U.S. Senate elections both before and after November 8. In 2020, Kelly defeated incumbent Sen. Martha McSally (R) in a special election 51.2% to 48.8%.